Season 25/26 · live signals · 1,842 referees tracked

One market. One edge. Zero noise.

PENALBOT is a quant engine built for a single, overlooked market: the penalty. We cross referee data, pressure dynamics and live odds — and push only the signals that survive every filter.

penalty-scanner · live
0 fixtures
84
Mallorca — Real Madrid
La Liga · ref bias +2.1σ
71
Leverkusen — Bayern
Bundesliga · DVS 0.78
42
Brest — Lens
below threshold · rejected
threshold ≥ 70
leagues EPL · UCL · UEL · BL · Liga · SA
latency 184 ms
0 projected annual ROI
0 signal win rate
0 max drawdown
0 avg signals / week
What members say

Trusted by bettors who want an edge.

★★★★★

"First service that actually explains the reasoning behind every signal. The referee data alone is worth the subscription."

M
Marc D.
Pro member · EPL specialist
★★★★★

"3 weeks in, ROI is already positive. Signal quality is high — no spam, no noise. Exactly what I was looking for."

R
Rafael T.
Starter member · UCL focus
★★★★☆

"Very niche approach, I was skeptical at first. But the logic is solid and the transparency around stake sizing builds real trust."

S
Sophie W.
Pro member · La Liga
01 The thesis

Everyone chases every market. We chose one.

Generalists lose. Specialists compound. PENALBOT refuses to forecast every outcome — it owns the penalty, end to end, and ignores the rest.

A

Own a niche

One vertical, ignored by mass tipsters. An information asymmetry that compounds every week.

B

Ship on Telegram

Signals land in a private room — formatted, actionable, zero friction between discovery and action.

C

Refuse noise

Fewer pushes, higher conviction. The engine rejects ambiguous setups before they reach you.

02 The engine

Four layers. One verdict.

A quantitative pipeline stacked to isolate penalty probability — not team form, not total goals. Penalties only.

L01 Referee intelligence

1,842 referee profiles. Penalty frequency, strictness variance, home/away bias — weighted into an arbitral factor.

L02 Pressure & Vulnerability

PPI measures offensive pressure on the box. DVS measures defensive fragility. Combined, they map the setup.

L03 Market synthesis

Internal fair-odds vs live bookmaker pricing. We push only when edge survives the spread.

L04 Stake staging

Conviction-weighted units, bankroll-aware. The size of the bet scales with the quality of the signal.

03 The curve

Compounding beats chasing. Every time.

A cumulative-ROI backtest across 12 months of curated signals. Disciplined stakes, transparent drawdowns, no hindsight bias.

PENALBOT Market baseline
Cumulative ROI +70.5%
Max drawdown -8.4%
Sharpe-like 1.92
Avg signals / week 4.1

Projected backtest · stakes normalised to 1u · past performance does not guarantee future returns.

04 Access

Three tiers. One room.

Start free, upgrade when you're ready.

Free
Free

1 signal per week. No credit card.

  • 1 signal / week
  • EPL coverage
  • Public Telegram channel
  • Community access
Join free
7-day free trial
Starter
€9.99/mo

7 days free, then €9.99/mo. EPL · UCL · UEL.

  • 3–5 signals per week
  • EPL · UCL · UEL
  • Private Telegram channel
  • Standard support
Start free trial
Most popular
7-day free trial
Pro
€29.99/mo

7 days free, then €29.99/mo. All leagues.

  • All signals, every league
  • Stake sizing & bankroll guidance
  • Priority dispatch
  • Dedicated Telegram room
Start free trial
Inside the room

This is what lands
in your Telegram.

Every signal ships with the full verdict — score, probability, suggested stake, key factors. No charts to read. No strategy to build. Act on it or skip it.

Start receiving signals Cancel anytime · First signal within 24h
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HIGH CONVICTION
Signal dispatched 84/100
Mallorca
vs
Real Madrid
La Liga · Sat 21:00 · Son Moix
Penalty proba 31.8%
Fair odds 2.84
Book edge +10.9%
Stake 6u
Referee bias
+2.1σ
PPI · offensive
0.76
DVS · defensive
0.82
All filters passed · dispatched to premium
? Questions

Everything you need to know.

Questions? DM us. @PenalBotTeam t.me/penalbotteam
Open in Telegram